Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that’s what your is actually asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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