Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that’s what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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